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Pandemic Preparedness: Exercise PEGASUS

20 March 2026

In late 2025 the UK Government ran their latest “Pandemic Preparedness” thing, this time they called it “Exercise PEGASUS”.

Looking at the page on the Government website they make the claim that…

Exercise Pegasus has been the largest simulation of a pandemic in UK history

https://hansard.parliament.uk/commons/2025-11-04/debates/251104100000010/PandemicPreparednessExercisePEGASUS

One could argue that COVID was the largest simulation of a pandemic, because it certainly wasn’t a real one, but I digress.

This simulation ran over three separate days, 18 September, 9 October and 30 October where Very Important People[tm] were challenged to deal with pretend emergence, containment and mitigation of a pretend novel enterovirus.

We’ve noticed previously how incredibly prescient these preparedness simulations are. We had Event 201 where they simulated “an outbreak of a novel zoonotic coronavirus transmitted from bats to pigs to people that eventually becomes efficiently transmissible from person to person, leading to a severe pandemic”. They based the simulated disease on SARS. This was on the 18th October 2019. Less than two months later, by pure chance and total coincidence we were told a novel zoonotic coronavirus had transmitted from bats, causing SARS-CoV-2.

Then in November 2021 we had the NTI, Ted Turner’s Nuclear Threat Initiative Inc make their preparedness scenario all about “MonkeyPox”, where they had a Monkeypox outbreak beginning on the 15th May 2022. By sheer coincidence and pure chance you may recall that in May 2022 the news outlets informed us of an outbreak of… MonkeyPox. It was so bad we had the then Health Secretary Sajid Javid gravely stating “This morning I updated G7 health ministers on what we know so far”. The G7 no less.

This latest simulation of a novel enterovirus follows a similar pattern. According to that page on the Government website in their simulation one of the main diseases this pretend virus caused was… Meningitis. Isn’t that interesting?

The NHS website has a page about this preparedness exercise. There they identify 8 core objectives…

  1. Exercise decision making processes for measures to contain, control or mitigate the impact of a pandemic including how relevant priority lessons from previous civil emergency exercises and outbreaks of disease have been embedded. 
  2. Explore the impact of inequalities, and their consideration within pandemic decision making.
  3. Investigate likely impacts of HMG decisions on the health and care system, local responders, communities, businesses, civil society and the general public.
  4. Examine processes for the scaling up of relevant capabilities that would be needed as part of a central government pandemic response.
  5. Investigate the effectiveness of coordination, including the exchange of information, between different tiers in a UK wide response.
  6. Test the strategic response to disinformation and misinformation.
  7. Enable and support local exercising of selected capabilities and response issues.
  8. Identify and report on relevant areas of learning to improve future pandemic preparedness.

Some of those are quite vague, like number 7 where it is quite difficult to discern what any of it even means. Numbers 5 and especially 6 are much more obvious… all about information, disinformation and misinformation. No surprises seeing that on the list.

Exercise Pegasus is considered a “national-level exercise”. The Government website page we looked at earlier informs us that “Although live participation in Exercise Pegasus has now concluded, critical work continues. A fourth phase—recovery—is planned to be exercised in 2026”. You don’t say.

We’re now in March 2026 and seeing reports like this everywhere…

15 cases is a “national-level incident” according to that report. There are roughly 69,931,500ish people in the UK right now, and 15 out of that is 0.00002144956135647%, or about two one-hundred-thousandths of a percent.

Cases are now up to 20, the media is hysterically reporting as of today. Okay so out of the population it’s not much, but is it a lot compared to recent years? Well according to the UK Government website the figures for recent years are:

2022/23 – 356 cases
2023/24 – 301 cases
2024/25 – 313 cases

This is a cluster of cases though, “it’s literally an outbreak” screech the doom-mongering media, who just happen to be super-desperate for clicks and that ad revenue.

A cluster you say? An “outbreak”? Hmmm. The thing is, it is not especially contagious according to official sources. In fact this other UK Government page says “Students can, and should, continue to attend schools and colleges as normal” so clearly not that much of a concern. It also says this…

Meningococcal disease (meningitis and sepsis) is an uncommon but serious disease caused by meningococcal bacteria. Very occasionally, the meningococcal bacteria can cause serious illness, (inflammation of the lining of the brain) and sepsis (blood poisoning), which can rapidly lead to sepsis. 

https://www.gov.uk/government/news/expansion-of-meningitis-b-vaccination-offer-to-kent-students

Er… serious illness, and sepsis, which can rapidly lead to sepsis. Gee I guess they’re just so busy flapping about all 0.00002% of the population to write a coherent sentence. But that page reveals a bit more about what this could really be about…

The Meningitis B vaccine will now be offered to everyone who has been offered preventative antibiotic treatment as part of this outbreak.

Of course… a vaccine.

As it happens, just by sheer coincidence and pure chance, back on the 9th September 2025, just 9 days before the first simulation day of Exercise Pegasus the UK Government posted something on their Find a Tender section. Can you guess what it was for? Would could the UK Government be in need of? Competent pot-hole fillers? No, nothing like that. It is of course, Meningitis B vaccines. Isn’t that interesting?

The notice outlines some possible reasons why they need to load up on supplies from GlaxoSmithKline, the company that current UK Government Minister of State (Minister for Science, Innovation, Research and Nuclear) Patrick Vallance used to work for, and who now just helps pump share prices. Two reasons listed are:

  • A health emergency or pandemic may materially affect the uptake of the MenB vaccine. Continued delivery of the vaccine within the original term of the contract could jeopardise stock management and effective use of vaccines before expiry.
  • Should there be an increase in demand, then the current ordered volumes and planned delivery schedules would not provide for an expansion in the number of cohorts which need to be covered with MenB immunisations.

Hmmm, a pandemic of Meningitis, or an increase in the demand for Meningitis B vaccines… This was, if you recall, published just before the first of three simulation days. Just a coincidence… pure chance.

Calling 15-20 cases “explosive” and two one-hundred-thousandths of a percent a “national-level” incident is ridiculous. Of course we don’t want anyone getting seriously ill with anything, but given the average number of cases per year over the last three years is approximately 323, which works out to be about 29 a month, this seems like a ludicrous over-reaction. The fact that yet again, some kind of “preparedness” exercise and contracts to purchase vaccines for the very thing that just happens to miraculously spawn into existence right on cue is noteworthy at the very least.

We can also add the fact that the pharmaceutical industry was involved every step of the way. This is confirmed by the UK Government website where you can see a question from Johanna Baxter asking “what engagement did Exercise Pegasus have with pharmaceutical providers on the procurement of vaccines” and Ashley Dalton responded to say there was “engagement with partners from across the pharmaceutical industry” because of course “Exercise PEGASUS, the largest simulation of a pandemic in United Kingdom history, involved thousands of participants across different parts of the exercise”. Kent authorities were definitely also among the “thousands of participants”.

We also know that GSK have recently been conducting studies on a new version of their Meningococcal Group B Vaccine, and will be keen to see some of that lovely ROI.

State fans and vaccine enthusiasts will no doubt dismiss all this as just a coincidence. What is particularly difficult to handwave away is not just the timing, but the hyperventilating exaggeration of this so-called “explosion”. Ultimately nothing will convince the terminally afflicted Government worshipper, and that’s fine. People can believe what they want to believe. Given their track record, believing that lying, money-grabbing politicians and news outlets care about us, is like believing Harold Shipman cared about his patients.